Mortgage Blog

Rate Update March 27, 2008

Mortgage-backed bonds are testing the 50-day moving average again today. On Monday we hit the 50-day moving average and bounced higher which helped rates move modestly lower. If we can bounce higher again we should see rates improve. However, we remain concerned about the strength of the 50-day moving average as a support level. Should […]

Spreads between treasuries & MBSs

This may be a little technical for most folks but this article explains that the curretn spreads between US treasury bonds & mortgage-backed bonds (MBSs) are extremely high. If we get some confidence back in the credit markets we should see this spread narrow which would send mortgage rates lower. From WSJ.com: Bond, Loan Markets […]

Rate Update March 26, 2008

More weak economic data and positive technical trading patterns have helped mortgage rates this morning. The gain in mortgage rates may be short lived however as two prominent Fed officials are scheduled to speak later today. We know that inflation remains a primary concern for the Fed and any mention of inflation in their speeches […]

Rate Update March 25, 2008

Weak economic data as well as technical support has helped stabilize mortgage rates this morning following yesterday’s increase. Among the weak economic news was the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence index which showed that consumers are less confident that previously thought. Furthermore, the S & P Cash-Shiller Home Price Index report showed price declines in all […]

Rate Update March 24, 2008

Last Thursday we identified that mortgage-backed bonds were trading up against strong technical resistance and that we’d likely see mortgage rates move higher. Indeed that pattern is playing out this morning as mortgage-backed bonds fall under selling pressure. Adding to the pressure is strength in the stock market after news broke that JP Morgan Chase […]

Economist has done an excellent job covering the credit crisis

The Economist has done an excellent job covering the credit crisis. In this weeks issue they have a 10-page briefing on various issues surrounding the credit markets, currency exchange, & central bank intervention. All of these issues stand to effect the direction of mortgage rates as well as credit tightening in our industry. If you […]