Mortgage Blog

Q & A with Merrill Economist

In this weekend’s Barron’s there was an article that featured a Q & A with Merrill Lynch Chief Economist David Rosenburg. He is credited with calling the current economic slowdown far before anyone else and makes interesting predictions about American Households’ spending patterns in the future: Here is a excerpt from the article: Q: Will […]

Rate Update April 1, 2008

We’ve talked frequently in ‘rate update’ about the impact that a strong stock market can have on mortgage rates (generally speaking, a rallying stock market will push mortgage rates higher). Currently the Down Jones Industrial Average is up over 200 points. The rally is being credited to two main points: Watch today’s you tube video […]

Rate Update March 31, 2008

Mortgage-backed bonds rallied on Friday helping rates move lower this morning. There is not much in the way of economic data out today so we will be watching the stock market to get a read on investor sentiment. Currently the major indexes are essentially trading flat on the day. On Friday the monthly jobs report […]

WSJ reports on “Paulson Plan”

The WSJ reported this morning that Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson will unveil an overhaul to the regulatory system for the financial markets on Monday. This should be very interesting. One of the provisions in the article calls for a Federal system for state monitored mortgage companies. Here is the article: Sweeping Changes in Paulson Plan […]

Rate Update March 28, 2008

Mortgage rates increased this morning following a sell-off of mortgage backed bonds yesterday afternoon. It looked as though mortgage-backed bonds may fall below the all-important 50-day moving average but thankfully this morning’s personal spending report helped support prices. Watch today’s you tube video to find out how this report is helping mortgage rates….. Current Outlook: […]

Rate Update March 27, 2008

Mortgage-backed bonds are testing the 50-day moving average again today. On Monday we hit the 50-day moving average and bounced higher which helped rates move modestly lower. If we can bounce higher again we should see rates improve. However, we remain concerned about the strength of the 50-day moving average as a support level. Should […]

Spreads between treasuries & MBSs

This may be a little technical for most folks but this article explains that the curretn spreads between US treasury bonds & mortgage-backed bonds (MBSs) are extremely high. If we get some confidence back in the credit markets we should see this spread narrow which would send mortgage rates lower. From WSJ.com: Bond, Loan Markets […]

Rate Update March 26, 2008

More weak economic data and positive technical trading patterns have helped mortgage rates this morning. The gain in mortgage rates may be short lived however as two prominent Fed officials are scheduled to speak later today. We know that inflation remains a primary concern for the Fed and any mention of inflation in their speeches […]