Lewis’s “Liar’s Poker”

It feels good to be reading for recreation again.  Although, I’ve had trouble finding time to review the books I’ve read.  I completed Michael Lewis’s classic “Liar’s Poker” earlier this summer and am just getting around to posting this.

If you liked the movie “Wall Street” or like reading about the greedy scum on Wall Street then you’ll definitely enjoy this read.  Michael Lewis writes about his personal experience working for Salomon Brothers as a mortgage-backed bond salesman during the 1980’s.  I think the book is even more interesting following the subprime mortgage crash that we recently all got to watch.  Here are some excerpts & thoughts I want to remember:

*Volker’s Fed policy of the late ’70s & early ’80s led to an explosion of bond trading volumes which set the stage for Lehman Brothers to come to prominence.

*“One of the most remarkable things that happened in the 1980s was [the] sharp explosion of debt, way beyond any historical benchmark….is came about, I think, as a result of freeing the financial system, putting into being financial entrepreneurship and not putting into being adequate disciplines and safeguards.  So that’s where we are.”

*”Wall Street brings together borrowers of money with lenders.  Until the spring of 1978, when Salomon formed Wall Street’s first mortgage security department, the term borrower referred to large corporations and to….governments.  It did not include homeowners….From the early 1930s legislators had created a portfolio of incentives for Americans to borrow money to buy their homes…Nudged by a friendly policy…loans grew, and the volume of outstanding mortgages swelled from $55 billion in 1950 to $700 billion in 1976.  In January 1980 that figure became $1.2 trillion.

*Describing the reason securitization of mortgages came to be: “Mortgages were not tradable pieces of paper; they were not bonds…A single home mortgage was a messy investment for Wall Street, which was used to dealing in bigger numbers.  For the home mortgage to become a bond, it had to be depersonalized.  At the very least, a mortgage had to be pooled with other mortgages of other homeowners.

*The traders who profit from the sale of mortgage-backed securities were involved with the creation of Fannie  & Freddie: [Salomon Brothers] “intended to transform [mortgages] into bonds as soon as possible by taking them for stamping to the US Government.  Then they could sell the bonds…as, in effect, US Government bonds.  For that purpose, partly as the result of [Salomon’s] persistent lobbying, two new facilities had sprung up in the federal government alongside Ginnie Mae (Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac).  They guaranteed the mortgages that did not qualify for the Ginnie Mae stamp.  (As a result) Defaulting homeowners became the government’s problem.

*Creation of a CMO: “To create a CMO, one gathered hundreds of millions of dollars of ordinary mortgage bonds Ginnie Maes, Fannie Maes, and Freddie Macs.  These bonds were placed in a trust.  The trust paid a rate of interest to its owners… The (owners), however, were not all the same.  Take a typical three-hundred-million-dollar CMO.  It would be divided into three tranches, or slices of a hundred million dollars each.  Investors in each tranch received interest payments.  But the owners of the first tranch received all principal repayments from all the three-hundred-million dollars of mortgage bonds held in trust.  Not until the first tranche holders were entirely paid off did second tranche investors receive any payments…

*The creation of new mortgage-backed products (i.e. CMO’s, tranches, splitting principal and interest payments) was partly driven by the Savings & Loan Industry’s desire to acquire assets that they could stick “off-balance sheet” because regulators had yet to regulate the new product.

*Leverage: “…it is a wonder that more attention is not paid to the daily leveraging that occurs within investors’ portfolios.  Say I wanted my customer to buy thirty million dollars’ worth of AT&T bonds.  Even if he had no cash at his disposal, he could pledge that AT&T bonds as collateral and borrow the money from Salomon Brothers to buy the bonds.  We were genuinely a full-service casino…

*No one knows: “I spent much of my working life inventing logical lies…Most of the time when markets move, no one has any idea why.  A man who can tell a good story can make a good living as a broker.  It was the job of people like me to makeup reasons…..Heavy selling out of the Middle East was an old standby.

*Rating agencies: “…the rating services, like most commercial banks, relied almost exclusively on the past… in rendering their opinions.  The outcome of the analysis was determined by the procedure rather than by the analyst.

*Page 218 does a pretty good job of summarizing the causes of the S&L crisis.  Basically, S&L’s were in trouble and Congress gave them access to cheap money and loosened regulations so they could invest in junk bonds.  We all know how that ended.

*A little wisdom to end the book: “He said that every decision he has forced himself to make because it was unexpected has been a good one.  It was refreshing to hear a case for unpredictability in this age of careful planning.

A true inspiration….

If you have been a regular reader of this blog then you may remember my newsletter back in April where I wrote about my grandmother (we called her “Gramme”) and the inspirational conversation I shared with her.  It is with great sadness & pride that I must report her passing back on November 22nd.  She was a very special lady to me and to all her children, grandchildren, great grandchildren, and friends.  Here is her obituary that appeared in the paper in case you’d like to learn more about her.

Swanson, Irene Ethel 93 07/22/1917 11/22/2010 Irene passed away Nov. 22, 2010, in Beaverton, her home for over 50 years. Born near Ipswich, S.D., the youngest of seven children, Irene moved to Oregon as a newlywed in 1938. She married her high school sweetheart, Richard M. Swanson, who died in 1976. Growing up during the Great Depression set her standard for hard work, frugality, determination, independence, loyalty to family and friends, and her ability to make an unsurpassed lemon meringue pie. She was an avid gardener. Irene was proud of her association with the start of the Loaves & Fishes program in the Beaverton area. Friends and patrons of the Stuhr Senior Center knew Irene was always ready to meet newcomers or to be a fourth at the bridge table. She was a longtime, active member of Bethel United Congregational Church. Irene is survived by her children, LaDene York (Frank), Dixie Elliott, and Richard Swanson (Sue); six grandchildren; and eight great-grandchildren. A special thanks to Hearthstone of Beaverton and Odyssey Hospice for their exceptional care. A celebration of life will be held at 1 p.m. Saturday, Dec. 11, 2010, in Bethel UCC, 5150 S.W. Watson St., Beaverton, OR 97005. The family suggests in lieu of flowers, please consider donations to one of the following: The Stuhr Center Foundation for class scholarships or Bethel Church Micro Loan Ministry.

Evan earns his CFP(R) certification!

I was pretty excited yesterday afternoon when I got my email from the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER BOARD OF STANDARDS with the following message:

Congratulations! You are now certified by CFP Board and may begin using the CFP(R), CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER(tm) and federally registered CFP (with flame design) certification marks.

You are to be complimented on successfully fulfilling the rigorous requirements leading to authorization to use the CFP(R) marks, the recognized standard of excellence for personal financial planning. You now join a group of CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER(tm) professionals who have voluntarily agreed to abide by high standards of ethical conduct and client service.

Radiolab “numbers” show

File this one under the “geeky numbers” category.  I was listening to the radio this weekend and caught bits and pieces of THIS RADIO show.  It was the WNYC radio show called “Radiolab” from October 9th and they had an entire episode on numbers.  Grant it, this doesn’t necessarily have to do with money or finance but it does have to do with the paradigm in which we, as humans, understand numbers.  If you have sometime in the car it is worth a listen. 

I especially enjoyed the first part of the show in which a French thinker explains how we, as humans,  have innate sense of numbers.  Albeit, we don’t have the same understanding as our culture ultimately teaches us.  Instead, our innate sense is logarithmically-based.

Stieg Larsson’s Millenium Series

Stieg Larsson

I just got done reading the third and final novel in Stieg Larsson’s Millenium Series (The Girl With a Dragon Tattoo, The Girl who Played with Fire, & The Girl who Kicked the Hornet’s Nest).  I don’t think I’ll spend anytime reviewing them on this blog since they are not financially related AND because they’ve been widely publicized.  However, I will say they were very entertaining even for a guy who doesn’t regularly read murder mysteries.

Also, if you have read any of these you may find this article in the NY Times interesting about the dispute between Stieg’s partner and his family.

Unemployment benefits get canned

You may have heard on the news this morning that the Senate DID NOT approve a spending bill that would have appropriated funds to extend unemployment benefits.  For those who are currently without work this news is likely concerning.  For those who are concerned about the mounting government deficit this news is probably reassuring.  Regardless of your position on this particular issue I found THIS ARTICLE in the Economist magazine last week and thought I would share it.  The article makes the argument that stingier unemployment benefits encourage out-of-work citizens to get more creative inf finding a new job.  Critics would argue, however, that the expiration of unemployment benefits marks the end of consumer demand funded by those benefits.  Nevertheless, the article makes and interesting argument.  Here are some excerpts:

*America’s UI payments are usually stingier and more short-lived than their equivalents in Europe and Canada. That is not necessarily a bad thing: it is one reason why America’s unemployment rate is also usually lower.

*In theory, more generous payments discourage some of the unemployed from taking jobs right away, while encouraging some who might have given up the search to keep looking—and thus be counted as unemployed. JPMorgan Chase estimates that this may have raised the unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points.

*Two researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found that jobless workers who qualify for benefits have been unemployed, on average, only 1.6 weeks longer than those who don’t. They reckon that the more generous payments have raised the unemployment rate by only a mere 0.4 percentage points.

Photo’s of Addie

My wife has uploaded a bunch of photo’s to THIS FLICKR LINK in case you want to take a peak.

Addie Irene after a meal

Welcome beautiful Addie Irene

My wife gave birth to our first baby on Friday, May 14th @ 3:14AM.  I am very thankful to report that everyone is doing great.  My wife showed amazing strength and courage during the delivery and our families and neighbors have been incredibly supportive.  We are very blessed!

My two beautiful girls

April 2010 newsletter

A newsletter is going out to my mailing list in the next week or so.  Here is a link if you’d like to read it.

In this issue I explain how government borrowing can impact mortgage rates & introduce you to my latest trip “back to the classroom”.

Slides from session 3- Sunset High School financial literacy

Here are the slides from my savings and investment class at Sunset: