Lewis’s “The Big Short”

I’ve been meaning to do a quick book review post on “The Big Short” for the past few months but these posts are kind of time consuming.  A couple weeks ago NPR’s Planet Money team did a ‘Deep Read’ interview with the author Michael Lewis.  If you’re not familiar with Lewis he is an author who wrote an iconic book about Wall Street Finance in the late ’80s called “Liar’s Poker” which I reviewed HERE.  It just so happened that Lewis was working for Salomon Brothers in the ’80s where the Mortgage-backed bond was created.

“The Big Short” deals with the collapse of the subprime mortgage-backed bond market so as NPR’s Jacob Goldstein points out he basically wrote books about the alpha and omega.  Although this topic may sound dry and boring Lewis writes in a narrative style and does a great job of capturing the culture of Wall Street then and now.  Lewis himself claims in the interview that he doesn’t like writing about money but instead likes writing about subjects which offer an insight into the social culture of a specific time and place.

I have too many notes to list in this post but I highly recommend the book.

Here are just a few excerpts that I’ll share:

*Quoting a financial professional: “…Any business where you can sell a product and make money without having to worry how the product performs is going to attract sleazy people.

*A hedge fund manager pontificating on Buffett (had to include this quote): “At one point I recognized that Warren Buffett…did not copy Ben Graham, but rather set out on his own path, and ran money his way, by his own rules…I also immediately internalized the idea that no school could teach someone how to be a great investor.

*A recount of the madness: “In Bakersfield, California,  a Mexican strawberry picker with an income of $14,000 and no English was lent every penny he needed to buy a house for $724,000.

*Monetary losses caused by the sumprime era: “…the International Monetary Fund…out losses on US-originated subprime-related assets at a trillion dollars.” (Keep in mind that this was not the amount of the underlying mortgages.  This tally got so high because investment banks were selling Credit Default Swaps and other derivatives that were effectively bets on how the underlying mortgages would perform.)

 

Portland in the media

Maybe you caught the trailer to the new comedy show called Portlandia at THIS POST.  Now NPR is getting in on the action with THIS STORY about the number of “20-something’s” that migrate to Portland.  Here are a couple excerpt’s from the story:

  • You can get everything from pad thai to a fried pie in one of the hundreds of food carts that have taken over empty parking lots downtown.
  • “This seems to be a mecca for the misplaced half-cast rock-and-rollers,” Gardiner says. “A lot of half-rican, halfie, half-black, half-white rockers out here and metal heads and punk rockers. I like that a lot. It seems to be that I chose the correct place to come if this is where we’re all flocking to.”
  • Twenty years ago, the percent of people with college degrees in Portland was lower than the national average. Now, it’s more than 10 points higher — about 40 percent. (does this seem contradictory to the previous bullet point?)

Too bad there isn’t any mention about significant job growth.

3D printing

OK, sorry for this seemingly unrelated post but I read THIS ARTICLE in this week’s Economist Magazine and had to share.  It is a story about some fascinating technology that allows users to print three dimensionally using materials.  For example, apparently this viola which appears on the cover of this week’s edition was manufactured using this 3D printing technology:

If you get a moment I would highly recommend reading this article.  This could change the face of manufacturing as we know it today.  And, to tie it into the theme of this blog this could have huge implications for reducing inflationary pressure by cutting the cost of manufacturing goods.  Good article Economist!

What have I done?

After creating her first spreadsheet over the weekend Addie (our 8-month old daughter) has begun to pick up my favorite magazine, The Economist.  Here is a picture of her reaching by her children books & toys and going  for the magazine.  As well there is a picture of her reading playing with it.  Can you tell I am proud? Funny……

Addie’s first spreadsheet…

It’s with great pride that I post Addie’s first spreadsheet ever.  Her and I sat at my laptop tonight and she banged THIS ONE OUT. Be sure to scroll up to the top for the bulk of her work.

Markets closed for MLK Day

Just a reminder that the financial markets are closed today in recognition of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.  If you find yourself with a few extra minutes you can watch his famous “I Have a Deam” Speech here:

December 2010 newsletter

Click THIS LINK if you’d like to download my latest newsletter.  Inside you’ll find…….

*”QE2 Pushes Mortgage Rates Higher”

*”Evan Passes CFP(R) Exam and Earns His Designation”

along with some fun financial facts.

Addie takes a liking to my HP-12C

I was a proud father yesterday when my 7-month old daughter showed a liking for my calculator!

Comical Take on Portland

The trailer for the new season of “Portlandia” highlights some of the stereotypes of Portland. Pretty funny.

Lewis’s “Liar’s Poker”

It feels good to be reading for recreation again.  Although, I’ve had trouble finding time to review the books I’ve read.  I completed Michael Lewis’s classic “Liar’s Poker” earlier this summer and am just getting around to posting this.

If you liked the movie “Wall Street” or like reading about the greedy scum on Wall Street then you’ll definitely enjoy this read.  Michael Lewis writes about his personal experience working for Salomon Brothers as a mortgage-backed bond salesman during the 1980’s.  I think the book is even more interesting following the subprime mortgage crash that we recently all got to watch.  Here are some excerpts & thoughts I want to remember:

*Volker’s Fed policy of the late ’70s & early ’80s led to an explosion of bond trading volumes which set the stage for Lehman Brothers to come to prominence.

*“One of the most remarkable things that happened in the 1980s was [the] sharp explosion of debt, way beyond any historical benchmark….is came about, I think, as a result of freeing the financial system, putting into being financial entrepreneurship and not putting into being adequate disciplines and safeguards.  So that’s where we are.”

*”Wall Street brings together borrowers of money with lenders.  Until the spring of 1978, when Salomon formed Wall Street’s first mortgage security department, the term borrower referred to large corporations and to….governments.  It did not include homeowners….From the early 1930s legislators had created a portfolio of incentives for Americans to borrow money to buy their homes…Nudged by a friendly policy…loans grew, and the volume of outstanding mortgages swelled from $55 billion in 1950 to $700 billion in 1976.  In January 1980 that figure became $1.2 trillion.

*Describing the reason securitization of mortgages came to be: “Mortgages were not tradable pieces of paper; they were not bonds…A single home mortgage was a messy investment for Wall Street, which was used to dealing in bigger numbers.  For the home mortgage to become a bond, it had to be depersonalized.  At the very least, a mortgage had to be pooled with other mortgages of other homeowners.

*The traders who profit from the sale of mortgage-backed securities were involved with the creation of Fannie  & Freddie: [Salomon Brothers] “intended to transform [mortgages] into bonds as soon as possible by taking them for stamping to the US Government.  Then they could sell the bonds…as, in effect, US Government bonds.  For that purpose, partly as the result of [Salomon’s] persistent lobbying, two new facilities had sprung up in the federal government alongside Ginnie Mae (Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac).  They guaranteed the mortgages that did not qualify for the Ginnie Mae stamp.  (As a result) Defaulting homeowners became the government’s problem.

*Creation of a CMO: “To create a CMO, one gathered hundreds of millions of dollars of ordinary mortgage bonds Ginnie Maes, Fannie Maes, and Freddie Macs.  These bonds were placed in a trust.  The trust paid a rate of interest to its owners… The (owners), however, were not all the same.  Take a typical three-hundred-million-dollar CMO.  It would be divided into three tranches, or slices of a hundred million dollars each.  Investors in each tranch received interest payments.  But the owners of the first tranch received all principal repayments from all the three-hundred-million dollars of mortgage bonds held in trust.  Not until the first tranche holders were entirely paid off did second tranche investors receive any payments…

*The creation of new mortgage-backed products (i.e. CMO’s, tranches, splitting principal and interest payments) was partly driven by the Savings & Loan Industry’s desire to acquire assets that they could stick “off-balance sheet” because regulators had yet to regulate the new product.

*Leverage: “…it is a wonder that more attention is not paid to the daily leveraging that occurs within investors’ portfolios.  Say I wanted my customer to buy thirty million dollars’ worth of AT&T bonds.  Even if he had no cash at his disposal, he could pledge that AT&T bonds as collateral and borrow the money from Salomon Brothers to buy the bonds.  We were genuinely a full-service casino…

*No one knows: “I spent much of my working life inventing logical lies…Most of the time when markets move, no one has any idea why.  A man who can tell a good story can make a good living as a broker.  It was the job of people like me to makeup reasons…..Heavy selling out of the Middle East was an old standby.

*Rating agencies: “…the rating services, like most commercial banks, relied almost exclusively on the past… in rendering their opinions.  The outcome of the analysis was determined by the procedure rather than by the analyst.

*Page 218 does a pretty good job of summarizing the causes of the S&L crisis.  Basically, S&L’s were in trouble and Congress gave them access to cheap money and loosened regulations so they could invest in junk bonds.  We all know how that ended.

*A little wisdom to end the book: “He said that every decision he has forced himself to make because it was unexpected has been a good one.  It was refreshing to hear a case for unpredictability in this age of careful planning.