Rate Update October 16, 2009
Mortgage rates are higher this morning.
Mortgage-backed bonds have dropped significantly over the past week pushing mortgage rates +.25% higher off the lows. We have been in a short-term floating position over the past week hoping that MBSs would find support at the 200-day moving average. However, even with weakness in the stock market today, due to weak earnings from bellwethers Bank of America & General Electric, MBSs are having trouble finding traction.
Due to technical trading patterns we still believe rates can improve but floating just got a whole lot riskier. We are shifting our outlook to neutral with a long-term locking bias.
Current outlook: neutral, locking long-term