Mortgage Rate Update May 24, 2011

After taking a temporary dip yesterday mortgage rates have reversed back to Friday’s levels.

Stocks are reacting positively to better-than-expected new homes sales reported for the month of April.  Analysts had expected a flat reading and sales rose by 7.3%.  However, the overall level of new homes sale activity remains very low.

As I indicated last week the 10-year Treasury note has been testing important technical resistance over the past week but cannot muster enough momentum to break below this yield.  Mortgage rates loosely follow the 10-year Treasury yield so we will continue to monitor this market.

Yields on the 10yr Treasury can’t break through

 

In the face of $99 billion in new Treasury note supply this week it seems unlikely that rates would break below this level in the near-term.

Current Outlook:  neutral